from July 2012, Predictions
Losers not withstanding, here are the top 10 reasons why Apple's forthcoming iPhone 5 will be a mega hit:
- Install Base: 250 million iPhones have been sold-to-date. Apple's own addressable market for iPhone upgrades is around 170 million.
- New Carriers: By far, Apple getting onboard with China Mobile's nearly 1 billion customer base will allow the iPhone 5 to explode in new sales. In the U.S., T-Mobile may finally have worked a deal with Apple, leaving no major carrier in the states without the coveted Apple device.
- Larger Screen: Those waiting for Apple to deliver a larger screen iPhone are likely to get their wish.
- LTE: It's all but a given that iPhone 5 will deploy 4G LTE.
- iOS 6 & iCloud: The new iOS brings features like FaceTime over carrier networks, and seamless iCloud syncing for many common documents. iCloud API's will be a boon for developers, making iOS 6 coupled with iCloud an attractive selling point.
- Design: iPhone 5 may stay within the design lines of the current iPhone, but it's going to be taller, thinner, with a new camera position and an edgy feeling non-glass back.
- Hardware: Beyond LTE, iPhone 5 is likely to see a new ARM-based quad-core chip set, increased memory for running apps, boosted graphics, improved cameras, better speaker-phone capabilities. and an all new dock connector. All told, a new iPhone from the inside out.
- Mass Production: Don't count on Apple being unable to meet iPhone 5 demand. It has been rumored that Apple has been manufacturing the iPhone 5 since late June. With FoxConn producing iOS devices in China and Brasil, coupled with Pegatron's production, the iPhone 5 is likely to be Apple's most ambitious world-wide launch of any product, by any company in history.
- Lack of Competition: Microsoft has failed with it's Nokia and Windows Phone 7 debacle. RIM is on its last legs. Samsung, LG and Motorola Mobility are fighting, but Samsung shot its best salvo with the Galaxy IIIS earlier this summer to avoid colliding with iPhone 5 this fall. All the momentum Samsung has had better be enjoyed while it lasts.
- Marketing: No company does it better than Apple. When the iPhone 5 launches, nary a stone will be left unturned that won't bear iPhone 5 graffiti. Everyone living between plant earth and the space station will now the iPhone 5 has arrived.
Henry Blodget is at it again, throwing out his less than savvy reasoning as to why the iPhone 5 will be a big loser for Apple – because of it's looks. In Blodget's latest column, If The iPhone 5 Really Looks Like This, Apple May Be Screwed..., his "big idea" is that the iPhone 5 looks a lot like the iPhone 4S, which was virtually the same design as the iPhone 4, thus Apple's iPhone 5 will be a flop. Blodget's "logic" stops there.
Blodget ignores the fact that the iPhone 4S blew away smart phone sales figures, yet looked nearly identical to iPhone 4. But the ignorance continue. Blodget also seems unaware that the largest iPhone upgrade cycle in Apple's history will be this Fall, and avoids mentioning China's amazing growth story for Apple. "In short, the Galaxy feels like a next-generation phone." says Blodget. Sorry Henry, but truth be told, the Samsung Galaxy IIIs looks like a smashed down retread of the iPhone 3 and 3GS.